Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 51.7%

CHI: 48.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.28

CHI: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	10	0	0.93
1	CHI	18	3	1.62
2	COL	11	0	0.90
2	CHI	6	0	0.41
3	COL	14	0	0.61
3	CHI	12	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5