Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 0 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VGK: 54.3%

CGY: 45.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.39

CGY: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • VGK at home vs CGY: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	VGK 6 - 3 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-12-20	CGY 6 - 3 VGK	CGY	CGY
2025-10-18	VGK 6 - 1 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-10-14	CGY 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-15	CGY 5 - 4 VGK	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	7	0	0.49
1	CGY	10	0	0.69
2	VGK	18	0	0.95
2	CGY	9	0	0.24
3	VGK	19	2	2.05
3	CGY	13	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 0 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5