Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 0 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 51.0%
PHI: 49.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.87
PHI: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | PHI 2 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-02-28 | PHI 3 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 20 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1 | PHI | 11 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 2 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | PHI | 12 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 3 | BOS | 5 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 3 | PHI | 10 | 1 | 1.37 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 0 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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