New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 5 - 3 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 54.3%
NYR: 45.7%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.43
NYR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.700 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | NYR 8 - 1 WSH | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-12-31 | WSH 6 - 3 NYR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-23 | WSH 3 - 7 NYR | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0 - 1 WSH | WSH | NYR |
| 2025-03-05 | NYR 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:23 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 04:21 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 05:10 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 08:58 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 00:30 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:30 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:44 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:24 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 5 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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