Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-10-29 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 53.4%

MIN: 46.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.28

MIN: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-21	PIT 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2025-10-30	MIN 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	MIN
2025-03-09	MIN 1 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-10-29	PIT 3 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2024-02-09	MIN 3 - 2 PIT	MIN	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	0	0.44
1	MIN	20	0	0.81
2	PIT	14	0	0.70
2	MIN	15	0	1.12
3	PIT	12	1	0.85
3	MIN	20	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2