Minnesota Wild at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-10-29 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 54.3%
MIN: 45.7%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.64
MIN: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | PIT | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.942 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | PIT 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2025-10-30 | MIN 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2025-03-09 | MIN 1 - 3 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2024-10-29 | PIT 3 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2024-02-09 | MIN 3 - 2 PIT | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:36 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 15:31 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:03 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:58 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:38 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:36 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8