New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-30 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CBJ: 66.5%

NYI: 33.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.27

NYI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	26	26	0	100.0%	2.53	1	2.53
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	26	24	2	92.3%	2.80	2	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.70
1	NYI	11	0	0.52
2	CBJ	13	1	0.63
2	NYI	19	0	0.86
3	CBJ	14	1	1.47
3	NYI	22	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9