Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-10-30 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

LAK: 53.4%

VGK: 46.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.74

VGK: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

VGK

Ilya Samsonov - 16-9-4 | 0.891 SV% | 2.82 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	2.24	2	-0.76
VGK	Ilya Samsonov	27	21	6	77.8%	2.20	1	-3.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	14	0	0.54
1	VGK	14	1	0.69
2	LAK	11	0	0.75
2	VGK	14	1	0.74
3	LAK	16	1	0.90
3	VGK	14	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6