Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-10-31 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 44.8%
CHI: 55.2%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.77
CHI: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.735 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs CHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | CHI 5 - 2 SJS | CHI | CHI |
| 2026-04-06 | SJS 3 - 2 CHI | SJS | SJS |
| 2026-02-02 | CHI 6 - 3 SJS | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-13 | SJS 4 - 2 CHI | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-10-31 | SJS 3 - 2 CHI | SJS | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:52 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:29 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 08:19 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:42 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2
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