Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 44.0%

CHI: 56.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.82

CHI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	29	27	2	93.1%	3.24	2	1.24
CHI	Petr Mrazek	29	26	3	89.7%	2.11	1	-0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs CHI: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	18	0	0.92
1	CHI	13	1	1.01
2	SJS	15	1	0.98
2	CHI	13	0	0.69
3	SJS	5	0	0.20
3	CHI	19	1	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3