Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-01 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 45.0%

OTT: 55.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.99

OTT: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	0	0.59
1	OTT	15	1	0.87
2	NYR	6	0	0.28
2	OTT	25	0	1.33
3	NYR	9	1	1.06
3	OTT	24	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1