Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-11-01 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CBJ: 48.7%

WPG: 51.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.86

WPG: 3.71

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 34%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	44	38	6	86.4%	4.13	5	-1.87
WPG	Eric Comrie	22	20	2	90.9%	1.49	1	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	1	0.80
1	WPG	20	1	0.89
2	CBJ	11	0	0.28
2	WPG	22	2	1.96
3	CBJ	8	0	0.41
3	WPG	16	2	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.7