Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-01 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

MIN: 54.9%

TBL: 45.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.47

TBL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs TBL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	TBL 6 - 3 MIN	TBL	TBL
2026-03-03	MIN 5 - 1 TBL	MIN	TBL
2024-11-01	MIN 5 - 3 TBL	MIN	MIN
2024-10-24	TBL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	TBL
2024-01-18	TBL 7 - 3 MIN	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.36
1	TBL	18	1	1.19
2	MIN	18	2	2.05
2	TBL	7	0	0.38
3	MIN	14	2	1.79
3	TBL	11	1	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2