Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-01 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 63.3%
TBL: 36.7%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.84
TBL: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 8.6
Over 5.5: 86%
Over 6.5: 78%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | MIN | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.898 | 0.844 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs TBL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | TBL 6 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-03 | MIN 5 - 1 TBL | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-11-01 | MIN 5 - 3 TBL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-24 | TBL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-01-18 | TBL 7 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:15 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:47 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:41 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:57 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:31 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.8 - 3.0
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