New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-01 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 37.9%
NJD: 62.1%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.84
NJD: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.882 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • CGY at home vs NJD: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | NJD 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14:26 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 16:45 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0
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