Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 71.1%

CHI: 28.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.88

CHI: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	24	18	6	75.0%	4.62	3	-1.38
CHI	Petr Mrazek	43	38	5	88.4%	5.27	3	0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	1.03
1	CHI	9	0	0.51
2	LAK	15	0	1.06
2	CHI	5	0	0.31
3	LAK	15	1	0.86
3	CHI	13	0	0.66
4	LAK	5	0	0.49
4	CHI	3	0	0.34
5	LAK	3	2	1.83
5	CHI	3	3	2.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6