Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-02 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 40.6%
TOR: 59.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.99
TOR: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | STL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.896 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs TOR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | STL 5 - 1 TOR | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-18 | TOR 3 - 2 STL | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-11-02 | STL 4 - 2 TOR | STL | TOR |
| 2024-10-24 | TOR 1 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2024-02-19 | STL 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:25 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:29 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:08 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:33 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:52 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:21 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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