Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-11-02 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 54.0%
UTA: 46.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.61
UTA: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 8.4
Over 5.5: 80%
Over 6.5: 70%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | VGK | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.975 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs UTA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | VGK 0 - 4 UTA | UTA | VGK |
| 2025-11-24 | UTA 5 - 1 VGK | UTA | VGK |
| 2025-11-20 | UTA 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | UTA |
| 2024-11-30 | VGK 0 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-11-15 | UTA 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:52 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:00 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:06 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 05:37 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:10 | VGK | Goal |
| 4 | 02:15 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.6 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.