Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

VGK: 64.5%

UTA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.41

UTA: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	19	16	3	84.2%	1.90	0	-1.10
UTA	Connor Ingram	35	31	4	88.6%	3.60	2	-0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.96
1	UTA	6	0	0.44
2	VGK	18	2	1.76
2	UTA	14	0	0.88
3	VGK	12	0	0.45
3	UTA	13	0	0.51
4	VGK	4	0	0.43
4	UTA	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7