Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

SJS: 40.7%

VAN: 59.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.99

VAN: 3.57

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	28	25	3	89.3%	3.07	1	0.07
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	23	21	2	91.3%	1.69	0	-0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	6	0	0.22
1	VAN	14	0	0.50
2	SJS	16	0	0.76
2	VAN	17	0	0.97
3	SJS	14	0	0.71
3	VAN	18	1	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6