Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-02 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 52.7%
VAN: 47.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.88
VAN: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | SJS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.500 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2 - 5 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-11-28 | SJS 3 - 2 VAN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-04-14 | VAN 2 - 1 SJS | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-02-06 | SJS 1 - 2 VAN | VAN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 02:37 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0