New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-11-03 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 52.8%
NYI: 47.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.91
NYI: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | NYR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.981 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | NYR 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2026-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 NYR | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-12-27 | NYI 2 - 0 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-08 | NYR 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-04-10 | NYI 2 - 9 NYR | NYR | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:44 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:21 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:52 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:18 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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