Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-11-03 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 7 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 68.0%
TBL: 32.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.86
TBL: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 7.8
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 65%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | WPG | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.937 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • WPG at home vs TBL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | WPG 4 - 1 TBL | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-01-29 | TBL 4 - 1 WPG | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-14 | TBL 4 - 1 WPG | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-03 | WPG 7 - 4 TBL | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-02 | WPG 4 - 2 TBL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:49 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:02 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:23 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:49 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 07:36 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:39 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 06:51 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:38 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:15 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:23 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 7 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.9 - 2.8
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