Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 80.8%

WSH: 19.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.79

WSH: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	21	19	2	90.5%	3.02	1	1.02
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	45	41	4	91.1%	4.38	2	0.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.62
1	WSH	11	1	1.95
2	CAR	23	1	1.72
2	WSH	8	0	0.38
3	CAR	22	1	2.04
3	WSH	12	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5