Toronto Maple Leafs at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-03 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 60.8%
TOR: 39.2%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.41
TOR: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | MIN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.828 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | MIN 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | MIN |
| 2026-01-19 | TOR 3 - 6 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-29 | TOR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | TOR |
| 2024-11-03 | MIN 2 - 1 TOR | MIN | MIN |
| 2023-11-19 | MIN 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:19 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 19:08 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 02:14 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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