Toronto Maple Leafs at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

MIN: 58.0%

TOR: 42.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.28

TOR: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MIN 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	MIN
2026-01-19	TOR 3 - 6 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-29	TOR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	TOR
2024-11-03	MIN 2 - 1 TOR	MIN	MIN
2023-11-19	MIN 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	1.22
1	TOR	17	1	1.08
2	MIN	16	0	1.09
2	TOR	12	0	0.62
3	MIN	16	1	1.05
3	TOR	8	0	0.21
4	MIN	1	0	0.18
4	TOR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3