Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

ANA: 49.6%

CHI: 50.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.74

CHI: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	29	25	4	86.2%	2.96	2	-1.04
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	40	38	2	95.0%	4.85	4	2.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • ANA at home vs CHI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	25	2	1.55
1	CHI	16	1	0.91
2	ANA	15	1	1.10
2	CHI	11	0	0.91
3	ANA	23	1	2.20
3	CHI	12	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4