Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NYI: 62.8%

PIT: 37.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.57

PIT: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NYI at home vs PIT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.64
1	PIT	18	0	0.65
2	NYI	15	0	0.70
2	PIT	19	0	1.40
3	NYI	16	1	0.95
3	PIT	10	1	0.70
4	NYI	3	0	0.30
4	PIT	4	0	0.25
5	NYI	3	1	1.03
5	PIT	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1