Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

ANA: 35.9%

VAN: 64.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.33

VAN: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	37	32	5	86.5%	3.92	3	-1.08
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	22	21	1	95.5%	1.50	1	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • ANA at home vs VAN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	0	0.53
1	VAN	14	0	1.10
2	ANA	11	1	0.60
2	VAN	21	2	1.82
3	ANA	12	0	0.37
3	VAN	16	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.3 - 3.5