Columbus Blue Jackets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 42.3%
CBJ: 57.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.81
CBJ: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs CBJ: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CBJ 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | CBJ |
| 2026-01-06 | SJS 5 - 2 CBJ | SJS | CBJ |
| 2025-01-16 | CBJ 4 - 1 SJS | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-05 | SJS 2 - 1 CBJ | SJS | CBJ |
| 2024-03-16 | CBJ 4 - 2 SJS | CBJ | CBJ |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 11 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 1 | CBJ | 20 | 0 | 1.12 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | CBJ | 21 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 3 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 3 | CBJ | 25 | 2 | 1.91 |
| 4 | SJS | 3 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 4 | CBJ | 2 | 1 | 0.33 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1
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