Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-11-06 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 60.7%
NSH: 39.3%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.98
NSH: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 8.3
Over 5.5: 79%
Over 6.5: 67%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | WSH 4 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-01-11 | NSH 3 - 2 WSH | NSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-11 | NSH 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-06 | WSH 3 - 2 NSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-30 | WSH 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:12 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 04:26 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:03 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 15:34 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:25 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 4.0 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.