Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-11-06 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 55.5%
DET: 44.5%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.95
DET: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.911 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs DET: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | CHI 0 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-09 | DET 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | DET |
| 2025-01-10 | DET 5 - 3 CHI | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-06 | CHI 1 - 4 DET | DET | CHI |
| 2024-02-25 | CHI 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:58 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:42 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:27 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:03 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:47 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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