Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-11-06 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 60.0%

DET: 40.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.30

DET: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	25	21	4	84.0%	3.43	2	-0.57
DET	Cam Talbot	29	28	1	96.6%	1.77	0	0.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs DET: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.57
1	DET	11	0	0.90
2	CHI	11	0	0.53
2	DET	11	1	0.94
3	CHI	15	0	0.67
3	DET	18	1	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1