Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

BOS: 65.7%

CGY: 34.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.06

CGY: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 35%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.59
1	CGY	14	0	0.91
2	BOS	18	1	1.81
2	CGY	17	0	0.57
3	BOS	12	0	0.49
3	CGY	11	0	0.36
4	BOS	6	0	0.39
4	CGY	5	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 4.1 - 2.7