Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

NJD: 67.2%

MTL: 32.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.61

MTL: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs MTL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.79
1	MTL	13	0	0.74
2	NJD	10	1	0.90
2	MTL	11	1	0.77
3	NJD	17	2	2.61
3	MTL	11	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6