Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CAR: 80.8%

PIT: 19.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.19

PIT: 1.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	9	1	0.58
1	PIT	16	0	1.03
2	CAR	12	0	0.69
2	PIT	21	0	1.43
3	CAR	9	0	0.94
3	PIT	18	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.2 - 1.8