Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CAR: 84.5%

PIT: 15.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.41

PIT: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	36	35	1	97.2%	3.47	0	2.47
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	18	13	5	72.2%	2.21	1	-2.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	9	1	0.58
1	PIT	16	0	1.03
2	CAR	12	0	0.69
2	PIT	21	0	1.43
3	CAR	9	0	0.94
3	PIT	18	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 84.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 4.4 - 2.1