Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

SJS: 43.4%

MIN: 56.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.95

MIN: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	31	26	5	83.9%	4.23	2	-0.77
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	26	24	2	92.3%	2.14	1	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs MIN: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	5	0	0.23
1	MIN	19	0	0.96
2	SJS	18	1	1.24
2	MIN	14	0	1.10
3	SJS	17	0	0.67
3	MIN	12	2	2.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3