Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-08 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ANA: 37.2%

MIN: 62.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.26

MIN: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	31	26	5	83.9%	3.36	1	-1.64
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	33	2	94.3%	4.36	1	2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	ANA
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	22	0	1.02
1	MIN	13	0	0.76
2	ANA	24	1	1.63
2	MIN	14	0	1.06
3	ANA	17	0	1.70
3	MIN	13	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.3 - 3.7