Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-11-08 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SEA: 53.4%

VGK: 46.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.22

VGK: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	21	3	87.5%	2.52	0	-0.48
VGK	Adin Hill	32	28	4	87.5%	2.57	1	-1.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	0	0.91
1	VGK	14	0	1.38
2	SEA	16	1	0.88
2	VGK	11	0	0.45
3	SEA	10	0	0.62
3	VGK	11	0	0.70
4	SEA	1	0	0.16
4	VGK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5