Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-11-09 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 52.6%
OTT: 47.4%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.09
OTT: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | BOS | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.765 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | BOS 2 - 6 OTT | OTT | BOS |
| 2025-11-13 | OTT 5 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-06 | BOS 3 - 2 OTT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-27 | OTT 7 - 2 BOS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-13 | OTT 6 - 3 BOS | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:52 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:51 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:06 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:16 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 00:21 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0