Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-09 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 46.6%
WSH: 53.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.98
WSH: 3.63
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | STL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | WSH |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:59 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 07:07 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:42 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 10:53 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 02:09 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:51 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:27 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 16:45 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.0 - 3.6
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