Columbus Blue Jackets at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

LAK: 55.3%

CBJ: 44.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.39

CBJ: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	26	24	2	92.3%	2.61	2	0.61
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	23	18	5	78.3%	3.38	3	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	CBJ 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	CBJ
2025-12-22	LAK 1 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	LAK
2025-01-25	CBJ 3 - 2 LAK	CBJ	LAK
2024-11-09	LAK 5 - 2 CBJ	LAK	LAK
2024-02-20	LAK 5 - 1 CBJ	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.62
1	CBJ	9	0	0.37
2	LAK	17	0	1.10
2	CBJ	15	1	1.13
3	LAK	11	3	1.67
3	CBJ	13	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9