Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-11-09 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 7 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 53.7%
EDM: 46.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.00
EDM: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | VAN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VAN 0 - 6 EDM | EDM | VAN |
| 2025-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 EDM | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-10-11 | EDM 3 - 1 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-23 | EDM 6 - 2 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-18 | VAN 3 - 2 EDM | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:01 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 04:43 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 03:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 11:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 08:08 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:16 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 06:10 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 7 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1