San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-11-10 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 71.8%
SJS: 28.2%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.60
SJS: 2.13
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 27%
Over 6.5: 17%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | NJD | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.929 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | SJS 5 - 2 NJD | SJS | NJD |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3 - 1 SJS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-04 | SJS 3 - 2 NJD | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0 - 1 SJS | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-02-27 | SJS 2 - 7 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:21 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 71.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.