San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-11-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 68.7%

SJS: 31.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.19

SJS: 2.04

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	27	26	1	96.3%	2.42	3	1.42
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	44	44	0	100.0%	2.74	1	2.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	SJS 5 - 2 NJD	SJS	NJD
2025-10-24	NJD 3 - 1 SJS	NJD	NJD
2025-01-04	SJS 3 - 2 NJD	SJS	NJD
2024-11-10	NJD 0 - 1 SJS	SJS	NJD
2024-02-27	SJS 2 - 7 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	0	0.46
1	SJS	15	1	0.99
2	NJD	19	1	0.90
2	SJS	16	2	1.23
3	NJD	24	0	1.38
3	SJS	6	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.0