Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-11-10 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 46.3%

MIN: 53.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.90

MIN: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	33	32	1	97.0%	2.24	0	1.24
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	22	20	2	90.9%	1.86	2	-0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	2	1.23
1	MIN	6	0	0.48
2	CHI	11	0	0.32
2	MIN	12	0	0.39
3	CHI	7	0	0.24
3	MIN	25	0	1.32
4	CHI	2	0	0.07
4	MIN	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3