San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

PHI: 71.1%

SJS: 28.9%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.42

SJS: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	SJS 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	SJS
2025-12-09	PHI 4 - 1 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-12-31	SJS 0 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-11	PHI 4 - 3 SJS	PHI	PHI
2024-03-12	PHI 3 - 2 SJS	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	0	1.07
1	SJS	13	0	0.63
2	PHI	23	1	1.63
2	SJS	12	0	0.65
3	PHI	19	0	0.83
3	SJS	9	0	0.67
4	PHI	5	0	0.33
4	SJS	6	0	0.45
5	PHI	3	2	1.89
5	SJS	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8