Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 7 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 51.4%

DAL: 48.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.18

DAL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	PIT 3 - 6 DAL	DAL	PIT
2025-12-07	DAL 3 - 2 PIT	DAL	PIT
2025-04-05	DAL 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-11-11	PIT 1 - 7 DAL	DAL	PIT
2024-03-22	DAL 4 - 2 PIT	DAL	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:33	DAL	Goal
1	07:13	DAL	Goal
1	10:16	DAL	Goal
1	13:09	DAL	Goal
1	14:37	DAL	Goal
1	18:39	DAL	Goal
2	15:03	DAL	Goal
3	15:10	DAL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 7 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2