Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 41.5%

LAK: 58.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.79

LAK: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	0	1.01
1	LAK	10	0	0.48
2	CGY	17	0	1.10
2	LAK	18	1	0.89
3	CGY	8	2	1.31
3	LAK	15	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3