Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 72.8%

NSH: 27.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.16

NSH: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	30	28	2	93.3%	2.86	1	0.86
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	29	3	90.6%	3.63	2	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • COL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.73
1	NSH	17	1	1.24
2	COL	15	0	1.16
2	NSH	18	0	1.07
3	COL	17	1	1.30
3	NSH	5	0	0.43
4	COL	2	1	0.44
4	NSH	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 4.2 - 2.7