Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-11-11 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 31.3%
CAR: 68.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.40
CAR: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 36%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-10-20 | VGK 4 - 1 CAR | VGK | CAR |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3 - 2 VGK | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-11 | VGK 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-02-17 | VGK 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:38 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:11 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:28 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.4 - 3.0
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