Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

NYR: 39.5%

WPG: 60.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.70

WPG: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	2	1.51
1	WPG	12	1	0.79
2	NYR	19	0	1.22
2	WPG	15	1	0.86
3	NYR	19	1	1.78
3	WPG	14	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5