Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-11-12 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 54.0%
WPG: 46.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.33
WPG: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NYR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | NYR |
| 2023-10-30 | WPG 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:07 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 00:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 16:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 12:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 13:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:08 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1