Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

NYR: 41.0%

WPG: 59.0%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.73

WPG: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	33	27	6	81.8%	3.11	3	-2.89
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	36	33	3	91.7%	4.51	3	1.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	WPG
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	2	1.51
1	WPG	12	1	0.79
2	NYR	19	0	1.22
2	WPG	15	1	0.86
3	NYR	19	1	1.78
3	WPG	14	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5