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New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 65.6%
NYI: 34.4%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.18
NYI: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 26%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
StatEDMNYI
Season SV%0.9060.910
Last 5 SV%0.8370.851
SV% vs Opponent0.9191.000
GAA2.732.55
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs NYI: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-15EDM 0 - 1 NYINYIEDM
2025-10-16NYI 4 - 2 EDMNYINYI
2025-03-14NYI 1 - 2 EDMEDMNYI
2024-11-12EDM 4 - 3 NYIEDMEDM
2023-12-19NYI 3 - 1 EDMNYIEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
200:36EDMGoal
215:58EDMGoal
300:57EDMGoal
310:19EDMGoal
312:54EDMGoal
317:20EDMGoal
401:52EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5