Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-13 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 56.1%
DET: 43.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.42
DET: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | PIT | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • PIT at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4 - 3 DET | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4 - 2 PIT | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-13 | PIT 2 - 3 DET | DET | PIT |
| 2024-10-10 | DET 3 - 6 PIT | PIT | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:00 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:15 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 07:19 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 12:23 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:30 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1