Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

COL: 60.5%

LAK: 39.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.33

LAK: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	15	13	2	86.7%	1.57	1	-0.43
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	22	4	84.6%	3.67	5	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	7	1	0.78
1	LAK	11	1	1.07
2	COL	17	2	1.24
2	LAK	5	0	0.24
3	COL	15	2	1.66
3	LAK	8	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8