Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-11-13 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

ANA: 43.0%

VGK: 57.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.12

VGK: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	39	36	3	92.3%	4.44	2	1.44
VGK	Adin Hill	24	22	2	91.7%	3.27	3	1.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	VGK
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	1	0.99
1	VGK	17	0	1.16
2	ANA	18	1	1.03
2	VGK	17	2	1.70
3	ANA	18	1	1.26
3	VGK	20	0	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3