St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

BUF: 58.9%

STL: 41.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.43

STL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	BUF	18	0.83
1	STL	11	0.52
2	BUF	14	0.36
2	STL	15	0.96
3	BUF	10	0.34
3	STL	14	0.58
4	BUF	4	0.33
4	STL	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2