St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-11-14 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 70.1%
STL: 29.9%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.61
STL: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | BUF | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.951 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • BUF at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
| 2024-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4 - 3 STL | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.6 - 2.6
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