New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

FLA: 48.2%

NJD: 51.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.10

NJD: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	23	6	79.3%	3.58	4	-2.42
NJD	Jake Allen	27	25	2	92.6%	2.50	1	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • FLA at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	1	0.98
1	NJD	16	0	1.26
2	FLA	14	0	0.57
2	NJD	10	2	1.12
3	FLA	16	0	0.96
3	NJD	11	2	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9